Is Microsoft Sliding Into Consumer Irrelevance?
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@Carnival-Boy said:
Exactly which "sales" channels are all these consumers buying their Linux laptops? Do you have any figures at all?
Most don't. Linux is often installed after purchase.
But Amazon is, I believe, the largest channel for sales of any type. By a huge margin. Alibaba is probably similar.
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The big thing has been for years that Netbooks, which are predominately Linux, became the main source of consumer PC buying some years ago. It has been, for some time, by not including all laptop sales in the pool that the numbers have been skewed to make Windows sales sound better than they are.
It's tough because huge percentages of the market don't use traditional form factors anymore so now there are all of these "soft" categories that people use to list what is and isn't purchased.
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@scottalanmiller said:
But Amazon is, I believe, the largest channel for sales of any type.
15 of the top 20 laptop sales on Amazon in the US are currently Windows, including the entire top 7.
http://www.amazon.com/Best-Sellers-Computers-Accessories-Laptop/zgbs/pc/565108Just saying.....
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@Carnival-Boy said:
Just saying.....
Pretty much this. @scottalanmiller you are seriously mistaken on this. It may be true for what you have seen, but not for what I have seen in the consumer world.
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@scottalanmiller said:
Most don't. Linux is often installed after purchase.
Who are the people who are installing Linux after the sale? As others have mentioned, I don't personally know a single consumer who owns a laptop that they installed Linux on after they received it, or ordered a laptop with Linux pre-installed.
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@JaredBusch said:
@Carnival-Boy said:
Just saying.....
Pretty much this. @scottalanmiller you are seriously mistaken on this. It may be true for what you have seen, but not for what I have seen in the consumer world.
I"m going by published numbers that I have seen. That I've anecdotally seen the same thing is just a likely coincidence, I guess. But industry numbers have shown massive Linux adoption for a couple years now.
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@Dashrender said:
@scottalanmiller said:
Most don't. Linux is often installed after purchase.
Who are the people who are installing Linux after the sale? As others have mentioned, I don't personally know a single consumer who owns a laptop that they installed Linux on after they received it, or ordered a laptop with Linux pre-installed.
Netbooks are nearly all Linux and have been for years. If you know anyone with an Acer or Asus netbook, you probably know people running Linux.
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I had 2 netbooks and they both ran windows.
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@Minion-Queen said:
I had 2 netbooks and they both ran windows.
You also got them through business channels where Windows dominates and the vendors had reasons to include Windows. IT people will have a Windows-skewed view of personal devices because of the work that we do and that we see so much stuff in the WIndows world.
However, I know for a fact that you've had two Linux netbooks too. One of the tricks of Linux adoption not being recognized is that lots of users do not know that they are on Linux. It's not like "Linux" is the name of the end OS. It's a category.
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@Minion-Queen is actually a perfect example, she's had Linux netbooks, has one right now, in fact, and doesn't think about them. Even working in IT, even using Linux on a semi-regular basis, even doing Linux support for customers, it never really seems like you are using it and it is really easy to forget.
At Change.org I used a Linux desktop already once today, but nothing that anyone would remark about or pay attention to. It's a utility system off to the side, but it is a desktop and it runs Linux. Easy to miss.
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None of my friends have netbooks - in general those things are junk, or at least used to be junk... with things like Chromebooks now.. we finally have an OK use for low powered machines.
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@Dashrender said:
None of my friends have netbooks - in general those things are junk, or at least used to be junk... with things like Chromebooks now.. we finally have an OK use for low powered machines.
Chromebooks are just a specific Netbook, in most cases. Nearly all Chromebooks are netbooks. Not all, the Pixel, for example, is too large to be a Netbook.
Non-Chromebooks netbooks were all the rage before Chromebooks dominated that market. Before the Chomium Linux variant took over there, Linux was already the leader in the space. Microsoft desperately made a special version of XP then of Windows 7 trying to get it deployed there but it never really caught on. They've recently made Windows completely free for the netbook market to try to get some market share, which is working a little bit.
Netbooks tend to compete with tablets, and tablets are the more popular of the two, so you tend to see more attention going there these days.
Netbooks are a significant component of consumer laptop sales. A few years ago, they were the largest segment.
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One of the very misleading things is that Windows and full size laptops remain heavily in the market from many years ago. Current buying trends are very different than existing deployment trends. Lots of home users are still using XP setups on desktops and full size laptops. But new sales for several years have been a very different animal. Not only are PC sales a fraction of what they used to be but the types of PCs selling are very different. Linux (including Chromium) is huge and Mac has increased. All at the expense of Windows.
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Also keep in mind that most sales are not in the US and UK and most outside of those countries are smaller, lighter, cheaper and less likely to be Windows. Viewing the rich Windows-centric countries can provide a very skewed view compared to global sales.
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ZDNet called netbooks the top selling category in 2009. I'm not aware of them having lost that title in the meantime. Maybe traditional (large) laptops have come back significantly, but I've heard nothing of that in the six or seven years since netbooks took over and anecdotally I've only seen netbooks improve. What I've seen, though, is the term netbook being used less as they get more and more power and people forget them as a category.
http://www.zdnet.com/article/netbooks-dead-not-when-sales-are-up-264-percent/#!
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@scottalanmiller said:
I"m going by published numbers that I have seen. That I've anecdotally seen the same thing is just a likely coincidence, I guess. But industry numbers have shown massive Linux adoption for a couple years now.
Define massive.
Mass Linux adoption on the general consumer desktop? No.
Massive compared to where it was? Maybe. -
@scottalanmiller said:
Nearly all Chromebooks are netbooks. Not all, the Pixel, for example, is too large to be a Netbook.
All Chromebooks are too big to be called netbooks. I think the smallest has an 11 inch screen, doesn't it? That's not a netbook.
I'm not aware there is a name for these new breed of low-cost, low spec laptops. Regardless, the $200 HP Stream, running Windows 8.1 with Bing, is currently the best seller on Amazon. This shows that when Windows goes toe-to-toe with ChromeOS on pretty much identical hardware, at an identical price, consumers are still preferring Windows (just). So reports of Microsoft's death have been greatly exaggerated.
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@JaredBusch said:
@scottalanmiller said:
I"m going by published numbers that I have seen. That I've anecdotally seen the same thing is just a likely coincidence, I guess. But industry numbers have shown massive Linux adoption for a couple years now.
Define massive.
Mass Linux adoption on the general consumer desktop? No.
Massive compared to where it was? Maybe.Massive meaning it came from behind and the last time that I heard numbers it was over 50%. Largest is largest. If Windows is big, Linux is massive.
Linux has most definitely been adopted, en masse, globally. It lacks mind share, but not deployment share. I think that it was the OLPC drive that made the swing. That project pumped out so many Linux machines globally that stats started to swing very quickly. The netbook movement came right on its heels and the momentum was in place. Then the Chromebooks came and it just kept going.
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@Carnival-Boy said:
@scottalanmiller said:
Nearly all Chromebooks are netbooks. Not all, the Pixel, for example, is too large to be a Netbook.
All Chromebooks are too big to be called netbooks. I think the smallest has an 11 inch screen, doesn't it? That's not a netbook.
What do you consider a netbook? The "standard" netbook, the prototypical netbook here in the US was the 11" Acer that really took the market my storm many years ago. 11" is the number I've always heard as the main netbook number . According to Wikipedia, 12" is the upper bounds of netbooks.
I'd guess that above 90% of netbooks, at least those sold in the first world, are the 11" or thereabouts varieties with the Chromebooks and Macbook Air leading the way.
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@Carnival-Boy said:
I'm not aware there is a name for these new breed of low-cost, low spec laptops. Regardless, the $200 HP Stream, running Windows 8.1 with Bing, is currently the best seller on Amazon. This shows that when Windows goes toe-to-toe with ChromeOS on pretty much identical hardware, at an identical price, consumers are still preferring Windows (just). So reports of Microsoft's death have been greatly exaggerated.
They are called netbooks.
Windows might have gotten back (where do you have the Amazon report on that, is there a best seller link that they keep for current sales?) but it is coming from a position of massive loss of ground. Windows OS is a fraction today of where it was just five years ago. They lost the position of leadership. The Stream is also very, very new. It will take a few months to see if it is just a quick flash in the pan or if it remains a steady seller.
We bought the netbook that it replaces for about $130 and it was, nearly, worthless. Chromebooks for $200 are very nice. Windows netbooks, not so much. Having tried both of the same generation, there is quite a usability gap. But that might not stop people from returning to Windows, but Microsoft is trying a new experiment in making their OS free. It is a brand new experiment and has some serious proving of itself to do.
