Is Microsoft Sliding Into Consumer Irrelevance?
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@Carnival-Boy said:
Even if Windows computers & tablets don't dominate sales, I think you have to recognise that most people already have a Windows computer whilst tablets are relatively new. So you'd expect a massive intitial growth in tablet sales, followed by a tailing off as people are slow to replace their existing tablets (just like they are slow to replace their existing PCs).
I agree, but what people are seeing is a huge surge of tablets replacing PCs, too. Don't forget that. That is a major trend. Microsoft is having not only issues holding onto the deployment of their OS to their primary market devices, but seeing their entire primary market evaporating as well. PCs are not just seeing longer cycles than every before, but they are being completely replaced by lower cost, simpler devices that don't run Windows and are replaced many times more frequently.
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@scottalanmiller said:
Linux has been for some time. It dominates all major markets now. Has for a while. With the latest leap in Linux Chromebooks to the top of the charts for laptop sales, the largest consumer traditional category is going to Linux now too, not just the larger selling subsets of it. Linux actually took the low cost laptop market from Microsoft like six years ago, but this is moving more and more into the mainstream laptop market too.
O rly? I'd need to see some stats on that! And not just Amazon sales.
All I could find is this from last September:
http://www.computerworld.com/article/2687742/mac-and-chromebook-sales-erode-windows-pcs-retail-share.html
That says Macs had 26% share, Windows 68.4% and Chromebooks a measly 4.5%. Now if Chromebooks have overtaken Windows in the 3 months since those figures were calculated then fair enough, but I think you've got you Linux Tinted Glasses on. -
@Carnival-Boy said:
http://www.computerworld.com/article/2687742/mac-and-chromebook-sales-erode-windows-pcs-retail-share.html
That says Macs had 26% share, Windows 68.4% and Chromebooks a measly 4.5%. Now if Chromebooks have overtaken Windows in the 3 months since those figures were calculated then fair enough, but I think you've got you Linux Tinted Glasses on.You'll notice that they conveniently left out entire categories, like laptops that were not Mac, Windows or Chromebook. The entire standard Linux category, the one that was leading the shipments of lower cost laptops not too long ago, was completely left out of that number.
Problem is, Linux sales are not reported through those "sales" channels, whereas Chromebooks are. Using the word "sales" or using "reported sales" is a common tactic by vendors like Microsoft to show market dominance even when they have a small piece of the market.
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@scottalanmiller said:
You'll notice that they conveniently left out entire categories, like laptops that were not Mac, Windows or Chromebook.
They're saying Mac, Windows and Chromebook have 98.9% market share, so I guess Linux laptops have somewhere between 0 and 1.1%.
I don't know a single person who has a Linux laptop. You're really saying that Linux laptops represent the majority of laptop sales and the media is just ignoring it? Exactly which "sales" channels are all these consumers buying their Linux laptops? Do you have any figures at all?
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We Consult with clients on new equipment here are NTG's stats for 2014:
Laptops:
Windows Laptops: 341
Chrome: 6
MacBooks: 97
Linux: You can order these through HP and yes we have offered them but Not One client even considers them as a real option. IT guys always ask us to look into them but bosses win on this one.Tablets:
Windows (this includes surfaces): 10
IOS: 62
Android: 10This is based on what clients requested for their environments. Not sure how many of these got ordered (as we do not resell this kind of hardware).
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@Carnival-Boy said:
I don't know a single person who has a Linux laptop. You're really saying that Linux laptops represent the majority of laptop sales and the media is just ignoring it?
You live in the UK. You are not likely to see what the majority of laptop purchases are. Most laptops are not purchases in the first world, where Windows is dominant.
I've seen the opposite, though, even in the US. I've only seen about one person purchase a Windows laptop in the last five years. Everything else has been Linux.
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@Minion-Queen said:
We Consult with clients on new equipment here are NTG's stats for 2014:
Laptops:
Windows Laptops: 341
Chrome: 6
MacBooks: 97
Linux: You can order these through HP and yes we have offered them but Not One client even considers them as a real option. IT guys always ask us to look into them but bosses win on this one.Tablets:
Windows (this includes surfaces): 10
IOS: 62
Android: 10This is based on what clients requested for their environments. Not sure how many of these got ordered (as we do not resell this kind of hardware).
Remember that I said that business use for those is the one spot where Windows still dominates. That's their one stronghold.
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@Carnival-Boy said:
Exactly which "sales" channels are all these consumers buying their Linux laptops? Do you have any figures at all?
Most don't. Linux is often installed after purchase.
But Amazon is, I believe, the largest channel for sales of any type. By a huge margin. Alibaba is probably similar.
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The big thing has been for years that Netbooks, which are predominately Linux, became the main source of consumer PC buying some years ago. It has been, for some time, by not including all laptop sales in the pool that the numbers have been skewed to make Windows sales sound better than they are.
It's tough because huge percentages of the market don't use traditional form factors anymore so now there are all of these "soft" categories that people use to list what is and isn't purchased.
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@scottalanmiller said:
But Amazon is, I believe, the largest channel for sales of any type.
15 of the top 20 laptop sales on Amazon in the US are currently Windows, including the entire top 7.
http://www.amazon.com/Best-Sellers-Computers-Accessories-Laptop/zgbs/pc/565108Just saying.....
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@Carnival-Boy said:
Just saying.....
Pretty much this. @scottalanmiller you are seriously mistaken on this. It may be true for what you have seen, but not for what I have seen in the consumer world.
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@scottalanmiller said:
Most don't. Linux is often installed after purchase.
Who are the people who are installing Linux after the sale? As others have mentioned, I don't personally know a single consumer who owns a laptop that they installed Linux on after they received it, or ordered a laptop with Linux pre-installed.
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@JaredBusch said:
@Carnival-Boy said:
Just saying.....
Pretty much this. @scottalanmiller you are seriously mistaken on this. It may be true for what you have seen, but not for what I have seen in the consumer world.
I"m going by published numbers that I have seen. That I've anecdotally seen the same thing is just a likely coincidence, I guess. But industry numbers have shown massive Linux adoption for a couple years now.
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@Dashrender said:
@scottalanmiller said:
Most don't. Linux is often installed after purchase.
Who are the people who are installing Linux after the sale? As others have mentioned, I don't personally know a single consumer who owns a laptop that they installed Linux on after they received it, or ordered a laptop with Linux pre-installed.
Netbooks are nearly all Linux and have been for years. If you know anyone with an Acer or Asus netbook, you probably know people running Linux.
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I had 2 netbooks and they both ran windows.
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@Minion-Queen said:
I had 2 netbooks and they both ran windows.
You also got them through business channels where Windows dominates and the vendors had reasons to include Windows. IT people will have a Windows-skewed view of personal devices because of the work that we do and that we see so much stuff in the WIndows world.
However, I know for a fact that you've had two Linux netbooks too. One of the tricks of Linux adoption not being recognized is that lots of users do not know that they are on Linux. It's not like "Linux" is the name of the end OS. It's a category.
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@Minion-Queen is actually a perfect example, she's had Linux netbooks, has one right now, in fact, and doesn't think about them. Even working in IT, even using Linux on a semi-regular basis, even doing Linux support for customers, it never really seems like you are using it and it is really easy to forget.
At Change.org I used a Linux desktop already once today, but nothing that anyone would remark about or pay attention to. It's a utility system off to the side, but it is a desktop and it runs Linux. Easy to miss.
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None of my friends have netbooks - in general those things are junk, or at least used to be junk... with things like Chromebooks now.. we finally have an OK use for low powered machines.
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@Dashrender said:
None of my friends have netbooks - in general those things are junk, or at least used to be junk... with things like Chromebooks now.. we finally have an OK use for low powered machines.
Chromebooks are just a specific Netbook, in most cases. Nearly all Chromebooks are netbooks. Not all, the Pixel, for example, is too large to be a Netbook.
Non-Chromebooks netbooks were all the rage before Chromebooks dominated that market. Before the Chomium Linux variant took over there, Linux was already the leader in the space. Microsoft desperately made a special version of XP then of Windows 7 trying to get it deployed there but it never really caught on. They've recently made Windows completely free for the netbook market to try to get some market share, which is working a little bit.
Netbooks tend to compete with tablets, and tablets are the more popular of the two, so you tend to see more attention going there these days.
Netbooks are a significant component of consumer laptop sales. A few years ago, they were the largest segment.
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One of the very misleading things is that Windows and full size laptops remain heavily in the market from many years ago. Current buying trends are very different than existing deployment trends. Lots of home users are still using XP setups on desktops and full size laptops. But new sales for several years have been a very different animal. Not only are PC sales a fraction of what they used to be but the types of PCs selling are very different. Linux (including Chromium) is huge and Mac has increased. All at the expense of Windows.
