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    Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection'

    Water Closet
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    • JaredBuschJ
      JaredBusch @PhlipElder
      last edited by

      @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

      "Cases" "Spiking" have nothing to do with virus movement through a population as is being inferred. That's a lie. It just means more testing with test results being positive.

      Umm, not how it works. It is impossible to have cases without it moving through the population.

      Additionally, for most locations, but certainly not all, increased testing and thus increased case count does not affect the overall positivity rate.

      I will 100% agree that case count should never be the prime report. Positivity rate and hospital availability should be.

      Case count without positivity means dick.

      PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 3
      • PhlipElderP
        PhlipElder @JaredBusch
        last edited by

        @JaredBusch Um, yes, that is how it works.

        A person testing positive indicates the presence only.

        Explain to me the "How" a positive test means anything more than that. How does it indicate that the virus is moving.

        Call.

        scottalanmillerS 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
        • scottalanmillerS
          scottalanmiller
          last edited by

          Screenshot from 2020-10-28 12-40-35.png

          Increases in testing DO produce an increase in results, but there are three factors that people like to ignore...

          1. More tests primarily come from more people being sick in the first place.
          2. That the spikes aren't correlated with an increase in tests when we call them spikes but in an increase in the positives per test.
          3. And that increasing testing, when there isn't a spike in cases, would obviously show a decrease in positive results per test. But the opposite is seen in a spike.

          So that an increase in testing is causing the spike should be super obviously impossible. I

          PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
          • scottalanmillerS
            scottalanmiller @PhlipElder
            last edited by

            @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

            How does it indicate that the virus is moving.

            Because people have to get exposed. How do you get exposed without movement? Call.

            PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
            • PhlipElderP
              PhlipElder @scottalanmiller
              last edited by

              @scottalanmiller Why are we testing asymptomatic? What's the purpose of that?

              Death rates are lower than one tenth of one percent for populations younger than 70.

              What is going on here?

              scottalanmillerS JaredBuschJ 3 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
              • JaredBuschJ
                JaredBusch
                last edited by

                Illinois officially works the right way IMO. But until recently, the news never reported this way. simply stating "cases"

                6fdf2d19-a813-4fa1-b211-93f679894015-image.png

                1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                • scottalanmillerS
                  scottalanmiller @PhlipElder
                  last edited by

                  @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                  Death rates are lower than one tenth of one percent for populations younger than 70.
                  What is going on here?

                  What's wrong with that? What's the question? Why bring this unrelated statement up that has nothing to do with what we were discussing. Sounds like you are trying to make an emotional plea as the logic doesn't stand up.

                  PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                  • PhlipElderP
                    PhlipElder @scottalanmiller
                    last edited by

                    @scottalanmiller said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                    @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                    How does it indicate that the virus is moving.

                    Because people have to get exposed. How do you get exposed without movement? Call.

                    Again, meaningless.

                    The population being tested could have been carrying the antibodies for how long?

                    There are a whole lot of assumptions in there that never seem to get explained when challenged.

                    JaredBuschJ scottalanmillerS 2 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
                    • JaredBuschJ
                      JaredBusch @PhlipElder
                      last edited by

                      @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                      @scottalanmiller Why are we testing asymptomatic? What's the purpose of that?

                      because anyone infected is contagious. Welcome to Health 101.

                      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 2
                      • scottalanmillerS
                        scottalanmiller @PhlipElder
                        last edited by

                        @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                        Why are we testing asymptomatic? What's the purpose of that?

                        Logically to learn about who is and isn't sick or been exposed. It would be crazy to avoid testing people based on symptoms. How would we learn anything that way?

                        1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                        • PhlipElderP
                          PhlipElder @scottalanmiller
                          last edited by

                          @scottalanmiller Because "Cases" and "Spike" are being used to lockdown populations while death rates have been relatively static or falling.

                          JaredBuschJ scottalanmillerS 2 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
                          • JaredBuschJ
                            JaredBusch @PhlipElder
                            last edited by

                            @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                            @scottalanmiller said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                            @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                            How does it indicate that the virus is moving.

                            Because people have to get exposed. How do you get exposed without movement? Call.

                            Again, meaningless.

                            The population being tested could have been carrying the antibodies for how long?

                            There are a whole lot of assumptions in there that never seem to get explained when challenged.

                            People are not tested for antibodies. They are tested for the virus.

                            PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote -1
                            • scottalanmillerS
                              scottalanmiller @PhlipElder
                              last edited by

                              @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                              @scottalanmiller said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                              @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                              How does it indicate that the virus is moving.

                              Because people have to get exposed. How do you get exposed without movement? Call.

                              Again, meaningless.

                              The population being tested could have been carrying the antibodies for how long?

                              There are a whole lot of assumptions in there that never seem to get explained when challenged.

                              Because they are common sense and well known. No one should need them explained.

                              PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                              • PhlipElderP
                                PhlipElder @JaredBusch
                                last edited by

                                @JaredBusch Depends on the test as I understand it.

                                JaredBuschJ 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                • JaredBuschJ
                                  JaredBusch @PhlipElder
                                  last edited by

                                  @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                                  @scottalanmiller Because "Cases" and "Spike" are being used to lockdown populations while death rates have been relatively static or falling.

                                  Do you know that? Or is the news just reporting that. See post above.

                                  PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                  • PhlipElderP
                                    PhlipElder @scottalanmiller
                                    last edited by

                                    @scottalanmiller Doesn't wash with me.

                                    scottalanmillerS 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                    • JaredBuschJ
                                      JaredBusch @PhlipElder
                                      last edited by

                                      @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                                      @JaredBusch Depends on the test as I understand it.

                                      No it does not.

                                      No state agency is counting antibody tests as active cases. Antibodies form after the fact. Again Health 101.

                                      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                      • scottalanmillerS
                                        scottalanmiller @PhlipElder
                                        last edited by

                                        @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                                        @scottalanmiller Because "Cases" and "Spike" are being used to lockdown populations while death rates have been relatively static or falling.

                                        Now you are leaping again. Want to complain that lockdowns down make sense, argue for that. Don't claim that facts are untrue based on false information because you don't like how those facts are used by government.

                                        Attack policy if you feel it is bad. It's easy to make a case for not locking down. But it's not easy to make a plea for us to believe that math isn't true.

                                        PhlipElderP 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                        • PhlipElderP
                                          PhlipElder @JaredBusch
                                          last edited by

                                          @JaredBusch said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                                          @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                                          @scottalanmiller Because "Cases" and "Spike" are being used to lockdown populations while death rates have been relatively static or falling.

                                          Do you know that? Or is the news just reporting that. See post above.

                                          See California. Draconian measures being implemented. Nevada, Ontario and Quebec Canada.

                                          There are plenty of examples of jurisdictions locking down because "Spike".

                                          JaredBuschJ 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                          • PhlipElderP
                                            PhlipElder @scottalanmiller
                                            last edited by

                                            @scottalanmiller said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                                            @PhlipElder said in Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection':

                                            @scottalanmiller Because "Cases" and "Spike" are being used to lockdown populations while death rates have been relatively static or falling.

                                            Now you are leaping again. Want to complain that lockdowns down make sense, argue for that. Don't claim that facts are untrue based on false information because you don't like how those facts are used by government.

                                            Attack policy if you feel it is bad. It's easy to make a case for not locking down. But it's not easy to make a plea for us to believe that math isn't true.

                                            Maybe we need folks talking about "Cases" and "Spikes" to explain clearly what is meant by that. Then, let's get someone to talk about virus movement through a population and how that is measured and tracked.

                                            scottalanmillerS 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
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