Preparing for the storm
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@david.wiese said in Preparing for the storm:
current track: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/153536.shtml?5-daynl#contents
NHC is still tracking this as at least a cat 3 hurricane through Friday.
Yeah the forecast is actually looking better. Earlier models had the eye making landfall and now it seems like it will stay offshore a bit.
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@IRJ The models are still not in agreement. The GFS (American model and less accurate) and the ECMWF (European model (more accurate and pinpointed superstorm sandy)) are not 100%. The GFS has the storm pushing further east and further up the coast, the ecmwf has it pushing west and making landfall in florida.
edit: I should add that this all depends on the low that is moving through the great plains right now. If that moves faster then the storm stays further off the coast, if it slows down (or stays at its current pace) the storm will make landfall further west.
I found this cool weather site (http://preview.weather.gov/edd/) where you can turn the different layers on and off. Such as the current hazards (across the US) and see any current tropical storms (tracks and intensity).
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@DustinB3403 said in Preparing for the storm:
I'd be leaving.
It's not an easy decision to make. Hurricanes are unpredictable. It is possible we could only get 40MPH winds (although unlikely). It is very possible we only get 70-90MPH winds (current forecast is calling for this. It is also somewhat possible we get the eye of the storm and could see up to 150MPH.
It is hard to make a decision based on forecasts because they change and the slightest shifting of the storm makes a a huge difference. If you leave and we only get 70MPH winds, then you lose the ability to make repairs during the storm (causing more total damage), looting becomes a real issue, and it is much easier to protect against flooding when you are home. You can move things and place sandbags in strategic places.
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@IRJ I feel you're concern, I do.
I haven't been through hurricanes (at least none that I was aware of). Just be careful, and don't wait to long to leave if you have to.
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It is humbling seeing this huge storm coming, you know where the storm is and when it is coming, but you don't exactly know where it is going to end up.
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@IRJ said in Preparing for the storm:
It is humbling seeing this huge storm coming
That's what she said...
GAH hahah sorry, had too.
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@IRJ said in Preparing for the storm:
It is humbling seeing this huge storm coming, you know where the storm is and when it is coming, but you don't exactly know where it is going to end up.
If there was a mandatory evacuation, does that mean that everybody is staying home, or are they already running for their lives?
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We went through a category 2 when we lived in Georgia. Coolest noise I've ever heard.
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@dafyre I would assume that the police are in peoples faces, guns out, making them leave.
But you know, this is no different than any other day in the south.... so I'm sure there will be people who stay, and then beg and plead for help when the surge is at the second story of their house...
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Welp, flooding is already starting to be an issue and we haven't even seen any rain from Matthew yet. It has been unusually wet here the last week and almost everyday we have seen rain going sideways.
Here is the result of today's storm and it is still raining...
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Um is that stop sign normally short, or is that already a diving pool?
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@DustinB3403 said in Preparing for the storm:
Um is that stop sign normally short, or is that already a diving pool?
It is a normal size stop sign.
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@IRJ said in Preparing for the storm:
Welp, flooding is already starting to be an issue and we haven't even seen any rain from Matthew yet. It has been unusually wet here the last week and almost everyday we have seen rain going sideways.
Here is the result of today's storm and it is still raining...
Just add Pontoons to your house and car, and you'll be fine. 8-)
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@IRJ Normal for NY is 8 or 10 feet, so that thing is that tall, and already there is that much water...
. . . you sure you want to stick this one through?
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That is adorable.
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Latest track shows the eye will be closest to land where I live. We are in a mandatory evacuation. The experts are saying there is a possibility that out island will be completely under water.
If that's not scary enough. Jim cantore checked into a hotel room here
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Wow
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Best of luck with the storm. We were supposed to be headed to Jacksonville for a few days on Thursday. Looks like we'll be postponing until after the storm.
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@IRJ Thats how we in Buffalo know we are actually getting a good storm when TWC shows up and you see Cantore on the streets
