What Are You Doing Right Now
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11:22AM sunday here, just had breakfast on the verandah, now do my quarterly tax stuff. Coffee #2 not far away I think.
Weather is overcast and still. Very quiet, the boss has locked the state down again, but only until Thursday. -
@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Today I did the math and the "skydiving danger equivalency" is 416miles by car.
Meaning... you run the same risk of a fatality from doing a proper, licensed, professional skydive experience vs. the risk of driving yourself on a trip (or combined trips) totally 416 miles.
Of course, if you have to drive TO the skydiving location, all the math goes out the windows.
So are you saying that it's thought that for every 416 miles you travel in a car, you die? So if you travel 834 miles, you've died from skydiving twice.
I would have thought, if that's the case, it's an extremely high risk pass time.
If at first you don't succeed, skydiving is not for you.
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@JaredBusch said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Today I did the math and the "skydiving danger equivalency" is 416miles by car.
Meaning... you run the same risk of a fatality from doing a proper, licensed, professional skydive experience vs. the risk of driving yourself on a trip (or combined trips) totally 416 miles.
Of course, if you have to drive TO the skydiving location, all the math goes out the windows.
That is a weird way to compare that. Because that does not actually define the risk to anything tangible
Like miles per fatality or anything.
People don't tend to understand that kind of comparison though. They resort to emotions. But in this example... my wife thinks people are insane to skydive because it is so risky. But she thinks nothing of a weekend drive of 500+ miles. It's an important comparison because it's the only thing she can compare to that she does every day as an optional thing.
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@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Today I did the math and the "skydiving danger equivalency" is 416miles by car.
Meaning... you run the same risk of a fatality from doing a proper, licensed, professional skydive experience vs. the risk of driving yourself on a trip (or combined trips) totally 416 miles.
Of course, if you have to drive TO the skydiving location, all the math goes out the windows.
So are you saying that it's thought that for every 416 miles you travel in a car, you die? So if you travel 834 miles, you've died from skydiving twice.
I would have thought, if that's the case, it's an extremely high risk pass time.
No, for every 416 miles you drive you run the same amount of risk of dying as skydiving once. You are approaching it with the assumption that you die EVERY time you skydive. But in reality, skydiving is quite safe.
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@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
I would have thought, if that's the case, it's an extremely high risk pass time.
In reality, skydiving is far safer than people think and driving is far more dangerous.
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@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Today I did the math and the "skydiving danger equivalency" is 416miles by car.
Meaning... you run the same risk of a fatality from doing a proper, licensed, professional skydive experience vs. the risk of driving yourself on a trip (or combined trips) totally 416 miles.
Of course, if you have to drive TO the skydiving location, all the math goes out the windows.
I've skydived 5 times, so I'm good for driving 2000+ miles, right?
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@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Today I did the math and the "skydiving danger equivalency" is 416miles by car.
Meaning... you run the same risk of a fatality from doing a proper, licensed, professional skydive experience vs. the risk of driving yourself on a trip (or combined trips) totally 416 miles.
Of course, if you have to drive TO the skydiving location, all the math goes out the windows.
So are you saying that it's thought that for every 416 miles you travel in a car, you die? So if you travel 834 miles, you've died from skydiving twice.
I would have thought, if that's the case, it's an extremely high risk pass time.
No, for every 416 miles you drive you run the same amount of risk of dying as skydiving once. You are approaching it with the assumption that you die EVERY time you skydive. But in reality, skydiving is quite safe.
what's the diff??? I fail to see it.
I'd much prefer my chances crashing at 100mp/h (1) that both shutes failing on a sky dive (2).
1 = possible chance of survival
2 = zero chance of survival -
@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@scottalanmiller said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Today I did the math and the "skydiving danger equivalency" is 416miles by car.
Meaning... you run the same risk of a fatality from doing a proper, licensed, professional skydive experience vs. the risk of driving yourself on a trip (or combined trips) totally 416 miles.
Of course, if you have to drive TO the skydiving location, all the math goes out the windows.
So are you saying that it's thought that for every 416 miles you travel in a car, you die? So if you travel 834 miles, you've died from skydiving twice.
I would have thought, if that's the case, it's an extremely high risk pass time.
No, for every 416 miles you drive you run the same amount of risk of dying as skydiving once. You are approaching it with the assumption that you die EVERY time you skydive. But in reality, skydiving is quite safe.
what's the diff??? I fail to see it.
I'd much prefer my chances crashing at 100mp/h (1) that both shutes failing on a sky dive (2).
1 = possible chance of survival
2 = zero chance of survivalRight, that's the difference. You are seeing skydiving as the same as death. It's not. It's really, really safe. You are more likely to die driving to go skydiving than skydiving itself.
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@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
I'd much prefer my chances crashing at 100mp/h (1) that both shutes failing on a sky dive (2).
1 = possible chance of survival
2 = zero chance of survivalSure, but that's unrelated to the risk scenario. That's "failure mode risk". That's very different, and generally only loosely related, to real risk.
That's how people get risk wrong. It's like obviously getting hit by a meteor has a near 100% chance of death while eating a hot dog has a near 0% chance of death. But your chances of eating a hot dog are like many trillions of times higher than your chances of encountering a meteor.
So while meteors kill every time, there's no real risk of being hit by one. And while hot dogs rarely kill you, it's a real risk because most people eat so many of them.
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hmmm, time for lunch, think we're out of hot dogs ...
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Getting some TAKP Everquest time.
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Troubleshooting MS Teams issue, some users not getting presence and unable to chat. Most likely a Microsoft issue.
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Finding more computers with Chrome not starting up still, and a few that also lost domain trust. At least I've had my coffee already.
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Working on resolving duplicate SPNs on a server migration.... oh NOC team you kill me.....
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@travisdh1 said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Finding more computers with Chrome not starting up still, and a few that also lost domain trust. At least I've had my coffee already.
what are you finding as the cause?
are you just getting a white screen??? -
@siringo said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@travisdh1 said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
Finding more computers with Chrome not starting up still, and a few that also lost domain trust. At least I've had my coffee already.
what are you finding as the cause?
are you just getting a white screen???Chrome just errors out when you try to start it. Some get a program not found and some get a side-by-side configuration error.
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Counting time until the alarm goes off...
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Been without power since Sunday night. We get power for like 90 minutes every nine hours.
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@scottalanmiller warmer here than in Dallas just weird weather patterns
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@jt1001001 said in What Are You Doing Right Now:
@scottalanmiller warmer here than in Dallas just weird weather patterns
Spitting snow and 26F here. West and North of here there are far more icy spots. And all this with a backdrop of dying flowers from the last couple of weeks being spring weather.
