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    16TB spinning rust is here

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    • 1
      1337 @scottalanmiller
      last edited by

      @scottalanmiller said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

      And then.... Seagate. Will wait to see if WD follows suit.

      WD announced earlier that they are also looking at releasing 16TB drives this year. They use MAMR technology (Microwave Assisted Magnetic Recording) which is also new.

      I found out that Toshiba also have 16TB drives on the market but they are using "traditional" tech and have done it by adding a 9th platter instead of 8.

      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
      • G I JonesG
        G I Jones @scottalanmiller
        last edited by

        @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

        1 RojoLocoR scottalanmillerS 3 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
        • 1
          1337 @G I Jones
          last edited by

          @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

          @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

          Most companies buy drives from their vendor so they have no control over what drive they are actually buying. They are buying an HPE or Dell drive - manufactured by Seagate, WD, Toshiba etc. Just like they are buying 256GB of HPE RAM - manufactured by Micron, Samsung, Hynix etc.

          1 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
          • 1
            1337 @1337
            last edited by 1337

            @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

            @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

            @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

            Most companies buy drives from their vendor so they have no control over what drive they are actually buying. They are buying an HPE or Dell drive - manufactured by Seagate, WD, Toshiba etc. Just like they are buying 256GB of HPE RAM - manufactured by Micron, Samsung, Hynix etc.

            And there is no data that suggests that Seagate drives fails more than others.

            Backblaze have some data that suggests that some Seagate models are more failure prone than other drives on average but they also have data that suggests that other Seagate models have less failure than the average drive.

            DashrenderD 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
            • RojoLocoR
              RojoLoco @G I Jones
              last edited by

              @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

              @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

              I think the last set of drive failure data from backblaze showed Seagate as having higher failure rates compared to other brands. Don't have the link handy but you should be able to Google it pretty easily.

              1 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
              • 1
                1337 @RojoLoco
                last edited by 1337

                @RojoLoco The latest Backblaze stats: https://www.backblaze.com/blog/hard-drive-stats-for-2018/

                1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                • scottalanmillerS
                  scottalanmiller @G I Jones
                  last edited by

                  @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                  @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

                  Generally avoid them, yes. Big usage shops like BB have had issues with them, and repair shops have advised that they see the failure rates on them in the wild being very high.

                  JaredBuschJ PhlipElderP 2 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
                  • JaredBuschJ
                    JaredBusch @scottalanmiller
                    last edited by

                    @scottalanmiller said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                    @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                    @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

                    Generally avoid them, yes. Big usage shops like BB have had issues with them, and repair shops have advised that they see the failure rates on them in the wild being very high.

                    My buddy the runs his own tiny shop confirms this. He sees more failed seagate than anything else.

                    1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                    • wrx7mW
                      wrx7m
                      last edited by

                      What would be the best brand/model high capacity (8+ TB) SATA hard drive today?

                      travisdh1T 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                      • travisdh1T
                        travisdh1 @wrx7m
                        last edited by

                        @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                        What would be the best brand/model high capacity (8+ TB) SATA hard drive today?

                        HGST. Owned by Western Digital, but still running their own production lines. They're a little more expensive, but also more reliable. You have to decide if the extra cost is worth the reliability difference.

                        wrx7mW 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 2
                        • wrx7mW
                          wrx7m @travisdh1
                          last edited by wrx7m

                          @travisdh1 said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                          @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                          What would be the best brand/model high capacity (8+ TB) SATA hard drive today?

                          HGST. Owned by Western Digital, but still running their own production lines. They're a little more expensive, but also more reliable. You have to decide if the extra cost is worth the reliability difference.

                          Ever since those floods several years ago, HDDquality has gone down.

                          travisdh1T scottalanmillerS 2 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 1
                          • travisdh1T
                            travisdh1 @wrx7m
                            last edited by

                            @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                            @travisdh1 said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                            @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                            What would be the best brand/model high capacity (8+ TB) SATA hard drive today?

                            HGST. Owned by Western Digital, but still running their own production lines. They're a little more expensive, but also more reliable. You have to decide if the extra cost is worth the reliability difference.

                            Ever since those floods several years ago, HDD drive quality has gone down.

                            Yeah, and anyone that doesn't believe you just needs to go look at the annual failure rates Backblaze publishes.

                            wrx7mW 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                            • wrx7mW
                              wrx7m @travisdh1
                              last edited by

                              @travisdh1 said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                              @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                              @travisdh1 said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                              @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                              What would be the best brand/model high capacity (8+ TB) SATA hard drive today?

                              HGST. Owned by Western Digital, but still running their own production lines. They're a little more expensive, but also more reliable. You have to decide if the extra cost is worth the reliability difference.

                              Ever since those floods several years ago, HDD drive quality has gone down.

                              Yeah, and anyone that doesn't believe you just needs to go look at the annual failure rates Backblaze publishes.

                              Yeah I saw that posted here recently. Man, it is a horror story.

                              1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                              • scottalanmillerS
                                scottalanmiller @wrx7m
                                last edited by

                                @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                @travisdh1 said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                @wrx7m said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                What would be the best brand/model high capacity (8+ TB) SATA hard drive today?

                                HGST. Owned by Western Digital, but still running their own production lines. They're a little more expensive, but also more reliable. You have to decide if the extra cost is worth the reliability difference.

                                Ever since those floods several years ago, HDDquality has gone down.

                                Losing a factory will do that, especially for a market in decline.

                                1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                • DashrenderD
                                  Dashrender @1337
                                  last edited by

                                  @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                  @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                  @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                  @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

                                  Most companies buy drives from their vendor so they have no control over what drive they are actually buying. They are buying an HPE or Dell drive - manufactured by Seagate, WD, Toshiba etc. Just like they are buying 256GB of HPE RAM - manufactured by Micron, Samsung, Hynix etc.

                                  And there is no data that suggests that Seagate drives fails more than others.

                                  Backblaze have some data that suggests that some Seagate models are more failure prone than other drives on average but they also have data that suggests that other Seagate models have less failure than the average drive.

                                  Don't they also use primarily consumer grade drives?

                                  scottalanmillerS 1 2 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                  • scottalanmillerS
                                    scottalanmiller @Dashrender
                                    last edited by

                                    @Dashrender said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                    @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                    @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                    @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                    @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

                                    Most companies buy drives from their vendor so they have no control over what drive they are actually buying. They are buying an HPE or Dell drive - manufactured by Seagate, WD, Toshiba etc. Just like they are buying 256GB of HPE RAM - manufactured by Micron, Samsung, Hynix etc.

                                    And there is no data that suggests that Seagate drives fails more than others.

                                    Backblaze have some data that suggests that some Seagate models are more failure prone than other drives on average but they also have data that suggests that other Seagate models have less failure than the average drive.

                                    Don't they also use primarily consumer grade drives?

                                    BB only uses consumer AFAIK.

                                    DashrenderD 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                    • DashrenderD
                                      Dashrender @scottalanmiller
                                      last edited by

                                      @scottalanmiller said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                      @Dashrender said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                      @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                      @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                      @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                      @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

                                      Most companies buy drives from their vendor so they have no control over what drive they are actually buying. They are buying an HPE or Dell drive - manufactured by Seagate, WD, Toshiba etc. Just like they are buying 256GB of HPE RAM - manufactured by Micron, Samsung, Hynix etc.

                                      And there is no data that suggests that Seagate drives fails more than others.

                                      Backblaze have some data that suggests that some Seagate models are more failure prone than other drives on average but they also have data that suggests that other Seagate models have less failure than the average drive.

                                      Don't they also use primarily consumer grade drives?

                                      BB only uses consumer AFAIK.

                                      I thought that too - but had to leave myself some wiggle room. 😉

                                      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                      • 1
                                        1337 @Dashrender
                                        last edited by 1337

                                        @Dashrender said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                        @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                        @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                        @G-I-Jones said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                        @scottalanmiller what's the general consensus here? Do we not buy Seagate because they fail more? Genuinely curious.

                                        Most companies buy drives from their vendor so they have no control over what drive they are actually buying. They are buying an HPE or Dell drive - manufactured by Seagate, WD, Toshiba etc. Just like they are buying 256GB of HPE RAM - manufactured by Micron, Samsung, Hynix etc.

                                        And there is no data that suggests that Seagate drives fails more than others.

                                        Backblaze have some data that suggests that some Seagate models are more failure prone than other drives on average but they also have data that suggests that other Seagate models have less failure than the average drive.

                                        Don't they also use primarily consumer grade drives?

                                        No, it depends. They use more enterprise drives as they have gone to higher capacity drives so they have both.

                                        In the latest stats, the most reliable drive from all manufacturers that they have in larger numbers (>1000 drives) is the Seagate ST10000NM0086 at 0.33% AFR. That's a Seagate Exos X10 enterprise drive - 2.5M hours MTBF and 5 year warranty.

                                        Backblaze also says that drive reliability in general has gone up and 2018 has been the year with the lowest failure rate since they started.

                                        1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                        • 1
                                          1337
                                          last edited by 1337

                                          I think you can divide 3.5" drives into three major categories:

                                          • Desktop drives - Consumer 8/24 usage, 2y warranty, SATA - WD Desktop, Seagate Desktop etc
                                          • NAS drives - "Pro/semi-pro" 24/7 usage, 3y warranty, SATA - WD Red, Seagate Iron Wolf etc
                                          • Enterprise drives - Heavy 24/7 usage, 5y warranty, SATA or SAS - WD Ultrastar, Seagate Exos etc

                                          I think large desktop drives has become a niche market since that is not what people buy. And if you look at 10TB or more, the NAS drives and the enterprise drives cost almost the same but enterprise drives always have 5 year warranty so...

                                          Unless trends will change I think you'll see a lot more enterprise drives used by Backblaze. I think in general they will always pick the lowest cost per TB drives they can find in volumes they can buy.

                                          Assuming everything keeps moving to the cloud, there are going to be huge volumes of hyperscale high capacity drives sold and less of everything else. Considering energy cost and density, hyperscale companies are always looking for the highest capacity drives.

                                          ObsolesceO 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                          • ObsolesceO
                                            Obsolesce @1337
                                            last edited by

                                            @Pete-S said in 16TB spinning rust is here:

                                            I think you can divide 3.5" drives into three major categories:

                                            • Desktop drives - Consumer 8/24 usage, 2y warranty, SATA - WD Desktop, Seagate Desktop etc
                                            • NAS drives - "Pro/semi-pro" 24/7 usage, 3y warranty, SATA - WD Red, Seagate Iron Wolf etc
                                            • Enterprise drives - Heavy 24/7 usage, 5y warranty, SATA or SAS - WD Ultrastar, Seagate Exos etc

                                            I think large desktop drives has become a niche market since that is not what people buy. And if you look at 10TB or more, the NAS drives and the enterprise drives cost almost the same but enterprise drives always have 5 year warranty so...

                                            Unless trends will change I think you'll see a lot more enterprise drives used by Backblaze. I think in general they will always pick the lowest cost per TB drives they can find in volumes they can buy.

                                            Assuming everything keeps moving to the cloud, there are going to be huge volumes of hyperscale high capacity drives sold and less of everything else. Considering energy cost and density, hyperscale companies are always looking for the highest capacity drives.

                                            WD Blue 3/year warranty
                                            WD Black 5/year warranty

                                            Both are non-Enterprise drives, and labeled as Desktop drives.

                                            The fact that Backblaze used 34,737 Seagate st4000dm000 desktop consumer level drives that had a failure rate of 2.13% is by no means surprising. Most of the drives they use are not enterprise drives.

                                            They must do it like that because they must think it's cheaper to deal with failed hard drives for the bulk of that tier of data.

                                            However, looking at the HGST Enterprise grade drives they used almost 10,000 of (hms5c4040ble640)... those had a significantly lower failure rate.

                                            Perhaps it's cheaper to go with Desktop drives for certain tiers of data, dealing with the failure rate, and for other data tiers, they choose Enterprise drives with much lower failure rates.

                                            1 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 2
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